It is at least some evidence that armed
citizens abort or prevent at least
some crime. That 40% of the sample had at some time decided not to
do a
crime because the intended victim was carrying a gun is additional
evidence
favoring the same point." (Armed and Considered Dangerous - Page
155)
The felons in this survey were clearly concerned about encounters
with
armed victims. Most felons agreed that "a smart criminal always
tried to
find out if his victim is armed. In general, encounters with armed
victims
seemed to be about as worrisome to these men as encounters with the
police. Confrontations with armed victims were a fairly frequent
occurrence for
these men. About two fifths had run into an armed victim at least
once;
about one third had been scared off, shot at, wounded, or captured
by one;
about two fifths had decided at least once in their lives not to
commit a
crime because they knew or suspected that the victim was armed;
about 80% had had at least some experience with an armed victim;
either directly or vicariously, through the experiences of their
associates." (ACD Page 158 159)
"Four fifths agreed that "a smart criminal always tries to find out
if his
victim is armed," and three fifths agreed that "most criminals are
more
worried about meeting an armed victim than they are about running
into the
police." About two fifths of the sample reported at least one armed
victim
encounter at some time in their careers; just over one third said
that they
had personally been "scared off, shot at, wounded, or captured by an
armed
victim." About two fifths reported having decided at least once in
their
lives not to commit a crime because they had reason to suspect that
the
intended victim was armed. This result makes it clear that at least
some
crimes are prevented by gun wielding victims." (ACD Page 15)
"In general, such evidence as exists on crime deterrence by private
weaponry does not support the argument that guns are useless in deterring
crime. The evidence does make it quite plain that most crime occurs in
circumstances
where the victim would have little or no chance to use a gun, even
if one
were possessed. On the other hand, in the relatively few cases in
which
there is opportunity to defend oneself with a gun, the evidence
suggests
that one is somewhat less likely to be successfully victimized if
one is
armed than if not." (Under The Gun Page 141)
"A long and hotly debated issue in the area of firearms and crime
control
concerns the protective efficacy of private gun ownership. Here the
issue is
whether armed citizens represent any deterrent to the commission of
criminal acts. The assumption that they do not has long been an
article of faith in the conventional wisdom about guns and gun
control; considerable evidence that they do has recently been
published. There is evidence, for example, that the odds to a felon
in confronting an armed victim are approximately as great as the
odds of being apprehended, convicted and sentenced for the crime;
there is also evidence that a felon is at least likely to be shot to
death by a civilian as he is to be slain by the police." (ACD Page
11)
"There is some evidence that the risk to a home robber or to a
burglar
striking an occupied residence of being shot and wounded or killed
by the
intended victim is on the same order of magnitude as the risk to the
same
criminal of being apprehended, convicted, and imprisoned for the
crime (both
probabilities appear to be on the order of 1 to 2%). It is thus
plausible
that much crime is deterred because those who would otherwise commit
it fear the possibility of being shot, just as it is plausible that
the fear of
serving time for one's offense also prevents some crime." (Under The
Gun - Page 14)
Wright, James and Peter Rossi. Armed And Considered Dangerous: A
Survey Of Felons And Their Firearms. NY: Aldine, 1986. Referred to
as ACD. A highly abbreviated version of this work is The Armed
Criminal In America: A Survey Of Incarcerated Felons. Washington,
DC: U.S. Government Printing
______, Peter H. Rossi and Kathleen Daly. Under The Gun: Weapons, Crime,
And Violence In America. Hawthorne, NY: Aldine, 1983. Referred to as
UTG. Revised edition of Weapons, Crime, and Violence in America: A
Literature Review And Research Agenda. Washington, DC: US Government
Printing Office, 1981.
The following books also contain information on this topic:
Kates, Don B. and Gary Kleck, with James R. Boen and John K.
Lattimer. The Great American Gun Debate: Essays On Firearms &
Violence. San Francisco, CA: Pacific Research Institute For Public
Policy, 1997.
Kleck, Gary. Targeting Guns: Firearms and Their Control. NY: Aldine
de Gruyer, 1997. Revision of Point Blank: Guns and Violence In
America.
Hawthorne, NY: Aldine de Gruyter, 1991.
Lott, John R. More Guns, Less Crime: Understanding Crime and Gun
Control Laws. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 1998.
Reiss, Albert J. and Jeffrey A. Roth (editors). Understanding And
Preventing Violence: Panel On The Understanding And Control Of
Violent Behavior. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, 1993. A
report of the National Research Council, a division of the National
Academy of Sciences.